BREXIT, THE END GAME....
BREXIT, THE END GAME...
Brexit – The end game
It was a summer’s day on June 23rd when Britain voted to leave the European Union by winning with 52% of the vote.
What does Brexit mean to the average man or woman on the street today? Well to be honest only one thing has stuck in the core, and being championed many is the fact that we will have control of the borders, and no more foreigners would be allowed to freely remain the UK again, without having a job or specific instructions to visit, or being on a holiday. We will be free to control issues around our own current affairs and laws. Regaining sovereignty was also trumpeted.
We have witnessed some vitriol and toxic commentary from individuals desperate to ram home their particular points of view.
We have seen key individuals and protagonists change positions, amend their narratives as the scene slowly changes before our eyes. The reality of the picture and what needs to be negotiated to leave becomes increasingly baffling.
Everyone has a voice and a vote, but this is vastly different to any other election that we have witnessed in modern times, a referendum like no other, due to the law, the negotiations, the timescales, and crucially the not knowing.
Arguments put forward by many individuals, be it politicians or otherwise appear to leave out country still divided if not more divided that is has been in years. Our political landscape was already appearing flawed and weak and many lost interest in the business of politics.
For over two years or more there has been, or at least supposed to have been protracted negotiations by the newly departed Mrs May and her advisers, which included David Davis, Dominic Raab, and then Stephen Barclay, and one would assume that there would have been a good few others sitting around meeting tables at various sites discussing what is the biggest topic for decades. It has the whole country asking all sorts of questions to themselves and others, including the most obvious “what the hell is going on" and it has had others saying "just get on with it"!!
For the purposes of this brief piece on the matter, I shall assume that we will leave the EU with no deal on the 31st October 2019.
At the time of writing Theresa May has just stood down as Prime Minister, but will cover the role until conservative members get to vote between the bookies favourite Boris Johnson and A N Other. At least ten names are in the ring, and as expected rather than look at the all-round attributes of the potential candidates there appears to be a leaning to noting who are leavers and who are remainers (at least who held that title for their original vote). Brexit being continually on the minds of many could possible lead to a Brexiteer taking over as the new Prime Minister.
Leaving with no deal would simply mean in the first instance that the UK would move immediately onto World Trade Organisation rules in regards to goods and services. This appears to some commentators to be quite straightforward, where systems and processes can be put in place speedily to accommodate the change. Temporary agreements can be put in place. There must be a large team of project managers in place to oversee the process who will be responsible for setting out the grids and templates for this transition
Realistically this change involves adopting, amending and introducing over 800 agreements that are currently in place (according to the FT). These matters should not be insurmountable surely for a capable team to handle. It has been stated that a lot of work has already been put in place, and the focus at time of writing is on that of the pharmaceutical industry and elements of the export process, such as the border controls and checks.
There is clearly more to it than that which has been mentioned in my piece, but we will all need to stay on board, and remain concerned, as any part of this change process that is not managed correctly, whether down to lack of experience and expertise or even shear incompetence could affect us all. Many have said that we will initially experience some difficulties, but ultimately we will take back control of our laws and borders.
In the time we take reset our country in its new state, hopefully the experts we have managing the process will do their level best to ensure our economy doesn't shrink, and GDP and inflation do not take a massive hit, as this could have a knock on effect with regards to employment levels, disposable incomes and spending. This would undoubtedly spell big problems for many families up and down the country.
So the best we can all do is continue to remain interested, only this time when Brexit has been delivered we stay interested and vocal about where we are going. The new vision - whatever that is.